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Red472
1619195.7
374391.2
4610117.5
Blue190
4364102.2
5312119.8
464188.6
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422110100300400500600472190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.74.9
183.6188.5
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
red by 75.9
5312
#16
119.80.8
118.6119.4
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
Second
4610
#35
117.50.3
117.1116.8
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
red by 15.2
4364
#27
102.21.0
101.2102.2
Auto14.9
Teleop83.0
End7.5
Third
3743
#39
91.22.5
93.791.2
Auto11.0
Teleop71.9
End4.0
red by 2.6
4641
#40
88.61.8
90.588.6
Auto12.9
Teleop72.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed