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Red305
228397.4
3526163.9
4717104.3
Blue154
1817121.6
6357125.4
1642102.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3072240100200400500305154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.92.2
160.6162.8
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
red by 38.5
6357
#23
125.43.2
128.6125.4
Auto14.6
Teleop95.1
End10.3
Second
104.30.7
101.5102.2
Auto13.5
Teleop77.5
End13.0
blue by 17.3
1817
#25
121.61.8
125.8124.1
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
Third
2283
#34
97.40.2
97.297.4
Auto11.8
Teleop82.4
End1.7
blue by 4.6
1642
#33
102.00.0
102.0102.0
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed