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Semifinal 2-22018 Hub City Regional
Red234
3931156.1
5572172.8
5783116.1
Blue415
1817121.6
6672159.1
2657143.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358288100200400500600234415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#2
172.81.3
170.4→171.7
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
red by 13.7
6672
#5
159.10.5
156.8→157.3
Auto18.7
Teleop119.2
End23.9
Second
3931
#3
156.10.6
155.0→155.6
Auto25.0
Teleop114.2
End18.7
red by 12.2
2657
#15
143.90.7
141.0→141.6
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
Third
5783
#28
116.10.1
116.5→116.3
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
blue by 5.5
1817
#25
121.60.4
122.5→122.1
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7