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Red266
3931156.1
5572172.8
5783116.1
Blue401
1817121.6
6672159.1
2657143.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349301200400500600266401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.81.1
171.7172.8
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
red by 13.7
159.10.6
157.3157.9
Auto18.7
Teleop119.2
End23.9
Second
156.10.5
155.6156.1
Auto25.0
Teleop114.2
End18.7
red by 12.2
2657
#15
143.90.8
141.6142.4
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
Third
5783
#28
116.10.2
116.3116.1
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
blue by 5.5
1817
#25
121.60.2
122.1121.9
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7