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Red188
636999.2
1745136.8
3802171.1
Blue271
4219124.2
3847156.9
3366119.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312580200400600800188271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
red by 14.2
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Second
1745
Unranked
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
red by 12.6
4219
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Third
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 20.2
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds