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Red231
6133119.8
6800161.2
5726120.4
Blue321
5417124.2
5431168.7
5930134.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28737402006008001,0001,200231321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
Unranked
161.20.0
161.2161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
blue by 7.5
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
5726
Unranked
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 14.1
5930
Unranked
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
6133
Unranked
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 4.4
5417
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest odds89%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds