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Red194
9995119.2
6898128.7
4219124.2
Blue223
9999119.2
3355135.9
3366119.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313310200250300350400194223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6898
Unranked
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 7.2
3355
Unranked
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Second
4219
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
red by 4.8
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Third
9995
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
Level
9999
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest odds18%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds