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Red172
675185.5
5431168.7
3355135.9
Blue371
3802171.1
6133119.8
3847156.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423730100200300500600700800172371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
blue by 2.4
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Second
3355
Unranked
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
blue by 21.0
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Third
6751
Unranked
85.50.0
85.585.5
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 34.3
6133
Unranked
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest odds79%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds