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Red403
6800161.2
3366119.4
1296166.6
Blue70
4192150.2
636999.2
5057116.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357254010020030040050060070080040370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
Unranked
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
red by 16.4
4192
Unranked
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
6800
Unranked
161.20.0
161.2161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
red by 44.7
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
Third
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 20.2
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest odds46%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds