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Red218
5930134.5
4219124.2
636999.2
Blue124
5726120.4
9994112.4
5057116.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132930100200400500600700800218124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5930
Unranked
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
red by 14.1
5726
Unranked
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
Second
4219
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
red by 7.6
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
Third
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 13.2
9994
Unranked
112.40.0
112.4112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds37%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds