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Red144
3366119.4
6898128.7
5431168.7
Blue409
6800161.2
3802171.1
3355135.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26538802006008001,000144409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
blue by 2.4
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Second
6898
Unranked
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 32.5
6800
Unranked
161.20.0
161.2161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
Third
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
blue by 16.5
3355
Unranked
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds