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Red287
4192150.2
675185.5
2765151.6
Blue152
3847156.9
9995119.2
1745136.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26333902004006008001,000287152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2765
Unranked
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
blue by 5.3
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Second
4192
Unranked
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
red by 13.4
1745
Unranked
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
Third
6751
Unranked
85.50.0
85.585.5
Auto12.8
Teleop68.2
End3.8
blue by 33.7
9995
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest odds50%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds