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Red260
5417124.2
5057116.5
3366119.4
Blue300
9994112.4
6171122.7
5930134.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27532902004006008001,000260300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
blue by 10.3
5930
Unranked
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Second
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
blue by 3.3
6171
Unranked
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Third
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
red by 4.2
9994
Unranked
112.40.0
112.4112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest odds43%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds