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Red360
5057116.5
9995119.2
6800161.2
Blue221
5431168.7
3847156.9
636999.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313310200250350400450360221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
Unranked
161.20.0
161.2161.2
Auto20.2
Teleop127.9
End15.2
blue by 7.5
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
9995
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto13.8
Teleop94.9
End13.1
blue by 37.7
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
Third
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
red by 17.3
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds