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Red386
6898128.7
6133119.8
9994112.4
Blue98
6171122.7
3366119.4
3802171.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27733702004006008001,00038698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6898
Unranked
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 42.4
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
Second
6133
Unranked
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 2.9
6171
Unranked
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Third
9994
Unranked
112.40.0
112.4112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
blue by 7.0
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest odds34%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds