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Red191
9994112.4
3355135.9
3847156.9
Blue143
5930134.5
1296166.6
6133119.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29232202004006008001,000191143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
blue by 9.7
1296
Unranked
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
3355
Unranked
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
red by 1.4
5930
Unranked
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
9994
Unranked
112.40.0
112.4112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
blue by 7.5
6133
Unranked
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest odds70%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds