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Red174
3366119.4
4192150.2
5726120.4
Blue386
5431168.7
5057116.5
9999119.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26837502006008001,000174386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
Unranked
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
blue by 18.5
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
5726
Unranked
120.40.0
120.4120.4
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
red by 1.2
9999
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Third
3366
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 2.9
5057
Unranked
116.50.0
116.5116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop90.3
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest odds53%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds8%Face the Boss odds