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Red361
6171122.7
3847156.9
5431168.7
Blue268
2765151.6
4219124.2
9994112.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3512900200400600800361268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
red by 17.1
2765
Unranked
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Second
3847
Unranked
156.90.0
156.9156.9
Auto22.4
Teleop116.6
End17.8
red by 32.7
4219
Unranked
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Third
6171
Unranked
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
red by 10.3
9994
Unranked
112.40.0
112.4112.4
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds