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Red70
3355135.9
6133119.8
636999.2
Blue343
6898128.7
9999119.2
4192150.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259346020040060080070343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3355
Unranked
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
blue by 14.3
4192
Unranked
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
6133
Unranked
119.80.0
119.8119.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 8.9
6898
Unranked
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
Third
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 20.0
9999
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest odds45%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds