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Red364
636999.2
3802171.1
9999119.2
Blue185
1296166.6
5431168.7
2765151.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343860100300500600700800364185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
Unranked
171.10.0
171.1171.1
Auto17.9
Teleop138.7
End14.8
red by 2.4
5431
Unranked
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
9999
Unranked
119.20.0
119.2119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop93.0
End11.6
blue by 47.4
1296
Unranked
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Third
6369
Unranked
99.20.0
99.299.2
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 52.4
2765
Unranked
151.60.0
151.6151.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds