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Red177
6363104.3
3103110.0
2582134.2
Blue225
5427145.8
2882122.9
3834113.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2013440100300400500600700177225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#16
134.215.6
78.193.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
blue by 11.6
5427
#14
145.81.0
156.4157.4
Auto19.5
Teleop115.7
End10.1
Second
3103
#24
110.01.5
110.1108.6
Auto17.2
Teleop79.3
End15.0
blue by 12.8
2882
#17
122.915.7
77.192.8
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
Third
6363
#22
104.317.1
64.982.0
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
blue by 9.5
3834
#21
113.816.6
69.385.9
Auto13.0
Teleop89.4
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed