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Red357
6111122.5
5414146.7
4192143.1
Blue202
289794.3
1745132.1
231148.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882670100200400500600700357202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.71.4
133.7132.3
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
blue by 1.4
231
#23
148.20.5
140.1140.7
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
Second
4192
#13
143.11.0
128.7129.7
Auto20.7
Teleop113.0
End11.9
red by 11.0
132.12.3
116.2113.9
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
Third
6111
#10
122.517.8
58.976.7
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
red by 28.2
2897
#30
94.317.7
59.477.1
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed