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Red218
2882122.9
5829118.7
231148.2
Blue438
507088.7
2582134.2
624232.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263356100200300400500600218438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#23
148.21.1
140.4141.4
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
blue by 84.3
624
#1
232.50.9
205.2206.1
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
Second
2882
#17
122.94.1
109.3113.4
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
blue by 11.3
2582
#16
134.26.6
110.1116.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
Third
5829
#28
118.70.2
120.4120.7
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
red by 30.0
5070
#25
88.76.0
91.197.2
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned