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Qual 202018 Lone Star South Regional
Red254
118229.0
6363104.3
289794.3
Blue255
636999.2
4587183.7
6111122.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344250100200300400500600254255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
229.00.0
216.1→216.1
Auto27.5
Teleop163.0
End41.6
red by 45.3
4587
#4
183.70.4
171.5→171.9
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
Second
6363
#22
104.34.5
100.7→105.2
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
blue by 18.2
6111
#10
122.55.6
99.3→104.9
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
Third
2897
#30
94.33.1
94.1→97.2
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
blue by 5.0
6369
#29
99.22.0
102.9→100.8
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed