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Red420
5923124.2
1745132.1
5414146.7
Blue30
2587138.3
507088.7
3735136.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218340010030040050060042030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.70.3
132.7132.4
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
red by 8.4
2587
#15
138.30.7
146.5145.8
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
Second
132.10.2
108.3108.6
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
blue by 4.4
3735
#20
136.51.3
141.6142.9
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Third
5923
#11
124.23.5
96.5100.0
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
red by 35.5
5070
#25
88.77.2
97.2104.4
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed