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Qual 282018 Lone Star South Regional
Red243
4587183.7
289794.3
2882122.9
Blue270
6645102.6
1745132.1
118229.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413630100200300400500243270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#4
183.70.8
172.4→173.1
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
blue by 45.3
118
#2
229.00.9
216.1→215.2
Auto27.5
Teleop163.0
End41.6
Second
2882
#17
122.90.9
115.3→114.5
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
blue by 9.2
1745
#8
132.11.9
108.6→110.4
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
Third
2897
#30
94.30.7
97.3→96.6
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
blue by 8.4
6645
#26
102.61.0
116.4→115.4
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed