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Qual 292018 Lone Star South Regional
Red427
1255132.8
6898120.3
5414146.7
Blue214
2582134.2
636999.2
5829118.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942350100200400500427214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#7
146.71.6
132.4→134.0
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
red by 12.5
2582
#16
134.28.3
124.4→132.7
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
Second
1255
#3
132.80.8
121.9→122.7
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
red by 14.1
5829
#28
118.70.9
120.6→119.7
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
Third
6898
#12
120.30.6
123.4→122.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
red by 21.1
6369
#29
99.20.2
99.3→99.1
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed