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Red310
6363104.3
624232.5
5923124.2
Blue196
3103110.0
2587138.3
231148.2
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370242100200300400500600700310196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
232.52.0
206.1208.1
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
red by 84.3
231
#23
148.20.3
142.0141.7
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
Second
5923
#11
124.27.2
100.0107.1
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
blue by 14.1
2587
#15
138.32.6
145.8143.2
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
Third
6363
#22
104.30.7
106.1106.8
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
blue by 5.7
3103
#24
110.00.4
107.7108.1
Auto17.2
Teleop79.3
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed