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Red285
4192143.1
507088.7
2882122.9
Blue212
3834113.8
636999.2
647100.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265222100200300400500285212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#13
143.10.4
137.6138.0
Auto20.7
Teleop113.0
End11.9
red by 29.3
3834
#21
113.80.7
100.7101.4
Auto13.0
Teleop89.4
End13.5
Second
2882
#17
122.90.0
114.5114.5
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
red by 22.0
647
#27
100.91.8
119.4117.6
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
Third
5070
#25
88.73.9
104.1100.2
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
blue by 10.5
6369
#29
99.20.1
99.199.0
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed