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Red93
2582134.2
6645102.6
6800153.1
Blue465
5414146.7
118229.0
7312109.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276370010020040050060093465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.11.9
145.0147.0
Auto20.7
Teleop120.5
End12.4
blue by 75.9
118
#2
229.00.9
215.2214.3
Auto27.5
Teleop163.0
End41.6
Second
2582
#16
134.25.7
132.7138.4
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
blue by 12.5
146.71.9
134.0135.9
Auto21.2
Teleop116.8
End5.7
Third
6645
#26
102.61.2
115.4114.3
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 7.2
7312
#18
109.91.2
96.998.1
Auto15.2
Teleop84.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned