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Red258
6898120.3
231148.2
1745132.1
Blue404
6488105.8
624232.5
5923124.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242359100200300400500600700258404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#23
148.20.4
141.7141.3
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
blue by 84.3
624
#1
232.51.9
208.1210.0
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
Second
132.11.3
110.4111.8
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
red by 7.9
5923
#11
124.25.8
107.1112.9
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
Third
6898
#12
120.30.0
122.8122.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
red by 14.5
6488
#19
105.82.2
108.3106.1
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned