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Red349
3735136.5
5829118.7
6898120.3
Blue237
6111122.5
231148.2
6645102.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279274100200300400500349237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#20
136.51.6
141.0139.4
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
blue by 11.7
231
#23
148.21.4
142.0143.3
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
Second
6898
#12
120.30.9
123.1122.2
Auto17.5
Teleop92.5
End8.4
blue by 2.2
6111
#10
122.52.1
115.2117.3
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
Third
5829
#28
118.70.1
118.9118.9
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
red by 16.0
6645
#26
102.60.9
108.2107.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed