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Red313
289794.3
7312109.9
1255132.8
Blue32
507088.7
647100.9
6363104.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278214010030040050031332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
132.80.4
126.2126.6
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
red by 28.5
6363
#22
104.31.3
108.8110.2
Auto18.0
Teleop78.8
End5.8
Second
7312
#18
109.91.8
103.3105.1
Auto15.2
Teleop84.5
End8.5
red by 9.0
647
#27
100.91.6
113.0111.4
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
Third
2897
#30
94.31.2
97.095.7
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
red by 5.6
5070
#25
88.71.5
98.496.8
Auto10.1
Teleop68.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed