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Red131
289794.3
6111122.5
6645102.6
Blue471
1745132.1
1255132.8
624232.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1274600200300400500600700131471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6111
#10
122.51.9
117.9119.8
Auto17.2
Teleop98.1
End8.2
blue by 110.0
624
#1
232.52.4
222.4224.8
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
Second
6645
#26
102.60.7
105.8105.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
blue by 30.1
132.80.8
127.7128.6
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
Third
2897
#30
94.30.5
96.195.5
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
blue by 37.8
132.12.8
118.7121.5
Auto21.0
Teleop93.1
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsEarned