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Red256
2582134.2
231148.2
636999.2
Blue359
647100.9
5923124.2
4587183.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443380100200300400500600700256359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#23
148.20.8
143.9144.8
Auto16.1
Teleop118.3
End14.9
blue by 35.5
183.71.7
178.8180.5
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
Second
2582
#16
134.21.4
137.9136.5
Auto16.0
Teleop100.0
End17.5
red by 10.0
5923
#11
124.20.3
122.9123.2
Auto14.5
Teleop90.9
End19.5
Third
6369
#29
99.20.7
100.7100.0
Auto17.3
Teleop79.4
End3.4
blue by 1.6
647
#27
100.93.0
109.0106.0
Auto10.2
Teleop84.5
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed