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Red386
5829118.7
6800153.1
624232.5
Blue169
4587183.7
6645102.6
6488105.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342280100300400500600700386169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
232.52.6
227.1229.7
Auto27.0
Teleop160.1
End44.6
red by 48.8
183.70.8
182.2183.0
Auto27.6
Teleop143.3
End14.0
Second
153.10.7
151.9152.6
Auto20.7
Teleop120.5
End12.4
red by 47.3
6488
#19
105.81.0
108.2107.2
Auto15.0
Teleop83.1
End4.9
Third
5829
#28
118.70.0
119.4119.4
Auto14.8
Teleop93.3
End11.3
red by 16.0
6645
#26
102.60.5
104.6104.0
Auto15.3
Teleop80.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
35%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed