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Red319
1255132.8
2882122.9
5427145.8
Blue203
2587138.3
3735136.5
289794.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192100100400500600319203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#14
145.80.6
146.5145.9
Auto19.5
Teleop115.7
End10.1
red by 7.5
2587
#15
138.31.3
140.3139.0
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End9.1
Second
132.80.8
129.7130.4
Auto18.0
Teleop102.6
End12.9
blue by 3.7
3735
#20
136.50.6
137.3136.7
Auto14.4
Teleop105.2
End18.9
Third
2882
#17
122.91.4
120.6122.0
Auto13.7
Teleop98.9
End11.7
red by 28.6
2897
#30
94.30.9
95.194.3
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed