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Red280
4587198.6
148230.3
1339164.4
Blue377
6377141.4
624233.9
118207.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4113480100200300500600700800280377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
230.30.2
230.0230.2
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
blue by 3.6
624
#2
233.90.0
233.9233.9
Auto25.8
Teleop165.2
End43.9
Second
198.60.4
197.8198.2
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
blue by 9.1
118
#32
207.80.7
209.8209.0
Auto24.8
Teleop153.1
End26.0
Third
1339
#25
164.40.5
166.2165.6
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
red by 23.0
6377
#34
141.40.1
141.5141.5
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0