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Red377
4587198.6
148230.3
1339164.4
Blue283
6377141.4
624233.9
118207.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063520100200300500600700800377283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
230.30.1
230.2230.3
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
blue by 3.6
624
#2
233.90.0
233.9233.9
Auto25.8
Teleop165.2
End43.9
Second
198.60.3
198.2198.4
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
blue by 9.1
118
#32
207.80.6
209.0208.4
Auto24.8
Teleop153.1
End26.0
Third
1339
#25
164.40.6
165.6165.0
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
red by 23.0
6377
#34
141.40.0
141.5141.4
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0