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Red365
3847160.1
5414160.1
3005198.2
Blue134
1296166.6
456167.2
5431168.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365326100200400500600365134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.20.4
196.1196.5
Auto24.3
Teleop148.5
End29.9
red by 29.5
168.70.1
168.8168.8
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
3847
#26
160.10.4
161.8161.4
Auto24.4
Teleop119.8
End16.0
blue by 7.1
456
#21
167.20.5
168.8168.3
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
160.10.5
157.7158.2
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
blue by 6.5
1296
#19
166.60.2
167.3167.1
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0