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Red257
3847160.1
5414160.1
3005198.2
Blue418
1296166.6
456167.2
5431168.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369317100200400500600257418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.20.5
196.5197.0
Auto24.3
Teleop148.5
End29.9
red by 29.5
168.70.1
168.8168.7
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
3847
#26
160.10.3
161.4161.0
Auto24.4
Teleop119.8
End16.0
blue by 7.1
456
#21
167.20.6
168.3167.7
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
160.10.5
158.2158.7
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
blue by 6.5
1296
#19
166.60.3
167.1166.8
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0