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Red127
2158115.8
5417124.2
3735140.2
Blue395
4587198.6
456167.2
624233.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1714920400600800127395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#11
140.20.6
137.3137.9
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
blue by 93.7
624
#2
233.90.4
232.8233.2
Auto25.8
Teleop165.2
End43.9
Second
5417
#22
124.21.0
129.1128.1
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
blue by 74.4
198.61.4
190.9192.3
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
Third
2158
#30
115.81.0
120.6119.6
Auto16.2
Teleop93.0
End5.1
blue by 51.4
456
#21
167.21.0
174.5173.5
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed85%Face the Boss oddsEarned