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Red198
5986152.6
4639144.5
6377141.4
Blue374
323147.7
5431168.7
7179159.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593640200600800198374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#16
152.60.5
153.3153.8
Auto19.2
Teleop122.1
End7.7
blue by 16.1
168.70.4
165.9166.2
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Second
4639
#10
144.50.2
140.8141.1
Auto20.4
Teleop96.5
End29.4
blue by 14.8
7179
#14
159.30.3
158.1158.4
Auto18.4
Teleop119.1
End22.2
Third
6377
#34
141.40.0
141.8141.8
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
blue by 6.4
323
#6
147.70.3
145.5145.8
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed