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Red420
5572203.4
6898128.7
148230.3
Blue293
2587131.6
118207.8
2848159.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3853010100200500600420293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
230.30.3
226.8226.5
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
red by 22.5
118
#32
207.82.9
223.3220.4
Auto24.8
Teleop153.1
End26.0
Second
203.40.6
197.3198.0
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
red by 43.5
2848
#29
159.91.8
166.9165.1
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Third
6898
#20
128.70.5
122.1122.6
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 2.9
2587
#18
131.61.3
136.0134.6
Auto17.6
Teleop105.2
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
56%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsMissed