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Red241
3999139.1
3847160.1
2582120.3
Blue283
3997138.1
3335133.9
3481160.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293327100150200250350400450241283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#26
160.11.5
167.9166.4
Auto24.4
Teleop119.8
End16.0
blue by 0.2
160.41.4
159.1157.7
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
Second
3999
#24
139.11.7
146.6144.9
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
red by 0.9
3997
#28
138.11.2
142.3141.1
Auto18.2
Teleop108.5
End9.0
Third
2582
#35
120.32.5
129.4126.9
Auto14.9
Teleop92.8
End7.7
blue by 13.6
3335
#17
133.90.9
129.8130.7
Auto15.0
Teleop106.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed