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Red425
2881121.4
4587198.6
6898128.7
Blue197
4610124.5
5986152.6
1339164.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314307200250350400425197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.60.6
192.3193.0
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
red by 34.2
1339
#25
164.42.3
176.4174.1
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
Second
6898
#20
128.70.9
122.6123.4
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
blue by 23.8
5986
#16
152.60.2
153.8153.9
Auto19.2
Teleop122.1
End7.7
Third
2881
#15
121.40.2
118.0117.9
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
blue by 3.1
4610
#31
124.50.4
126.3125.9
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed