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Red146
1745136.8
3997138.1
3847160.1
Blue479
5431168.7
148230.3
3005198.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204600100300400500600700146479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#26
160.11.5
166.4165.0
Auto24.4
Teleop119.8
End16.0
blue by 70.1
148
#3
230.30.4
226.5226.9
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
Second
3997
#28
138.10.8
141.1140.3
Auto18.2
Teleop108.5
End9.0
blue by 60.0
198.20.9
192.1193.0
Auto24.3
Teleop148.5
End29.9
Third
1745
#33
136.80.6
138.1138.6
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
blue by 31.9
168.70.8
166.2167.0
Auto24.7
Teleop123.2
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed81%Face the Boss oddsEarned