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Red528
624233.9
5427141.4
5892135.2
Blue206
6377141.4
2582120.3
2881121.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172100100300500600700528206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
233.90.2
233.2233.0
Auto25.8
Teleop165.2
End43.9
red by 92.5
6377
#34
141.40.2
141.8141.7
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
Second
5427
#13
141.41.7
143.0141.3
Auto18.2
Teleop105.5
End18.4
red by 20.0
2881
#15
121.41.2
117.9119.1
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
Third
5892
#12
135.20.9
134.2133.3
Auto16.9
Teleop104.2
End15.1
red by 14.9
2582
#35
120.32.3
126.9124.6
Auto14.9
Teleop92.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
57%Face the Boss oddsEarned11%Face the Boss oddsMissed