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Red368
5572203.4
4610124.5
3335133.9
Blue138
2158115.8
7179159.3
1296166.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320301100150200250350400450500368138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.41.1
198.0199.1
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
red by 36.8
1296
#19
166.61.0
171.0170.0
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
3335
#17
133.90.9
130.7131.6
Auto15.0
Teleop106.3
End14.2
blue by 25.4
7179
#14
159.30.7
158.4159.1
Auto18.4
Teleop119.1
End22.2
Third
4610
#31
124.51.2
125.9124.7
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
red by 8.7
2158
#30
115.81.1
119.6118.5
Auto16.2
Teleop93.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed