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Red310
118207.8
3735140.2
323147.7
Blue158
3999139.1
2848159.9
5414160.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38026302006008001,000310158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#32
207.82.2
220.4218.2
Auto24.8
Teleop153.1
End26.0
red by 47.7
160.11.4
155.0156.4
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
Second
323
#6
147.70.7
145.8146.5
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
blue by 12.1
2848
#29
159.91.4
165.1163.7
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Third
3735
#11
140.20.2
137.9138.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
red by 1.1
3999
#24
139.11.7
144.9143.2
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed